Well, that was a wild first three weeks of the season…
I don’t think any NFL team can be trusted based on how things have played out early on. One week you have the Raiders going on the road and upsetting the Ravens, only to get destroyed the next week at home against the pathetic Panthers.
Then you have the Bengals losing at home as big favorites vs. the Patriots and Commanders, but in the middle of those two games they went toe-to-toe with the Chiefs in Kansas City.
It’s complete madness, but that’s what makes this league so great. This season has given full meaning to “any given Sunday” as underdogs of 5.5-points or more are dominating, posting an amazing 13-1-1 ATS record with 10 (!) outright wins.
Does this mean you should be targeting big dogs going forward? Not necessarily. Each matchup needs to be looked at individually, and keep in mind that NFL betting trends like this tend to correct themselves over the course of a season.
Whether you’re backing big dogs or not this week, here’s my favorite betting trend for every game that’ll hopefully give you a head start with your handicapping. Best of luck in Week 4!
